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PodcastEconomiaThe Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

Harry Stebbings
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
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1530 episodi

  • The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

    20VC: Who Wins the Inference Market | Has Open-Source LLM Inference Peaked? | What Happens to the Cost of Compute | The Real Limits of Post-Training and RL with Erik Bernhardsson, Modal CEO

    02/11/2026 | 1 h 2 min
    Erik Bernhardsson is the Co-Founder and CEO of Modal, the AI infrastructure platform for training models, running inference and powering AI agents. Modal has raised over $1.2 billion, including a recent $750 million Series D led by Accel at a $15.75BN valuation. The company has surpassed $1BN in ARR, growing more than 15x year-on-year. Previously, Erik built Spotify's original music recommendation system.
    AGENDA: 
    05:30 - Why wait until your mid-30s to start a company?
    06:40 - Is founding a startup really like "eating glass"?
    08:00 - How to Raise $1BN with No Pitch Deck
    08:45 - The danger of raising too much venture capital
    09:40 - How much cash is Modal burning on GPUs?
    10:30 - Do early-stage startups actually have moats?
    13:30 - Who wins the inference market in the next 5 years?
    15:30 - Are 90% software gross margins dead in AI?
    17:45 - The "open-air drug market" for GPUs
    21:30 - Will GPU hardware prices ever collapse?
    22:15 - Are we about to overbuild data centers?
    23:45 - Can custom silicon dethrone NVIDIA's monopoly?
    24:30 - Is CUDA really the moat everyone claims it is?
    25:20 - Are Neo Cloud providers partners or mortal enemies?
    26:35 - Nebius vs. CoreWeave: who built the better business?
    27:25 - Open-source vs. frontier models: which takes the lead?
    28:20 - Can Europe ever build a competitive frontier model?
    30:20 - The bull case for a $100B verticalized model company
    37:15 - Modal's biggest resource allocation mistake
    38:00 - Has open-source LLM inference already peaked?
    41:30 - The real limits of post-training and RL
    44:20 - How much does Modal spend every month on coding agents?
    45:50 - The massive gold rush in selling data environments to labs
    47:20 - Should enterprises own their own intelligence?
    49:50 - Is model routing a defensible standalone business?
    53:20 - $20M+ compensation packages for exceptional new grads
    54:20 - The #1 portfolio company Erik would bet on
    55:10 - What Erik changed his mind on most this year
  • The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

    20VC: David Tisch on Why High Ownership and Concentration is BS | Why No Manager Actually Wants to Stay Small | Why Competing with the Mega Platforms is a Losing Game | Why the Lean Startup is a Fake?

    31/10/2026 | 1 h 16 min
    David Tisch is the Founder of Box Group, one of the best seed funds of the last decade with early investments in Cursor, Baseten and Clay to name a few. Today the fund invests from two funds, a $275M seed fund and a $275M opportunity fund.
    AGENDA: 
    10:40 Why we have less dilution now than ever before
    12:50 Why I don't want to compete with the best VCs, and why it's a trap
    16:15 What concentrated funds know but do not admit to
    17:25 Why multiple tranched rounds can be good for founders
    18:45 Why the Lean Startup was a total fake
    28:55 Why LPs are frustrated by a market that we can't change
    31:50 What is the single best-returning investment in the history of BoxGroup?
    33:15 Why fund returners are not always obvious in the early years
    40:05 Why funding consumer brands at seed no longer makes sense for venture
    42:00 Rogo, the now $2B company, got passed on by 39 out of 40 investors
    45:40 Why the marketing message that pro rata is not a right is BS
    1:01:50 Why we do not allow negativity in the investment decision-making process
    1:03:00 The true magic of early-stage venture capital
    1:04:35 Why YC has the best business model in all of venture
  • The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

    20VC: Anthropic Files S1 Ahead of $2TRN IPO | Instinct's Rumoured $30 Billion Fundraise | Microsoft Laysoff 27,000 While Meta Taps Equity Markets for $95 Billion Capex Spending Spree

    29/10/2026 | 1 h
    AGENDA: 
    04:00 Anthropic Files S-1 Ahead of $2TRN IPO
    14:50 Microsoft Offers Buyouts to 60,000 Employees
    20:45 Zuckerberg Taps Equity Markets for $95 Billion AI Spending Spree
    23:00 DeepSeek Raises $15 Billion as Chinese AI Faces US Backlash
    34:45 OpenAI and Wiz Uncover Decade-Old Security Flaws
    37:05 Instinct's Rumoured $30 Billion Valuation Divides the Panel
    45:30 Invest Committee: Put 20% of the Fund Into OpenAI at $1.25 Trillion
    49:40 Palmer Luckey's War Dog Startup Hits $1.5 Billion Valuation
    55:00 Zuckerberg Threatens California Exit Over Billionaire Tax
  • The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

    20VC: Satya Nadella on Open vs Closed Models: Who Wins | Whether to Trust Frontier Model Providers | Why Companies Need to Own Their Own Intelligence | The Importance of Verticalisation: From Chips to Models and More

    26/10/2026 | 26 min
    Satya Nadella is the CEO of Microsoft and one of the greatest CEOs of our time. Satya has been at the company for an astonishing 34 years. When he joined, Microsoft had a market cap of $23.5BN. 22 years later, the company was worth $300BN. At this point, Satya took the reins as CEO. Under his leadership, he has taken it from $300BN to $3.9TRN. 
    AGENDA: 
    03:08 Should We Assume Every AI Model Is Compromised?
    04:13 How Do We Stop AI Agents From Causing Harm?
    06:15 Can We Trust an AI Model's Chain of Thought?
    07:05 Is China's Lead in Open-Source AI a Safety Risk?
    08:28 Will Open or Closed Models Win the Next Two Years?
    10:08 Why Should Every Company Own Its Intelligence?
    12:12 Will Every Company Become AI Native?
    13:22 Are We Entering an AI Implementation Economy?
    15:10 Do You Need to Own the Entire AI Stack to Win?
    16:49 Can the World Support $100 Billion AI Training Runs?
    18:34 Can AI Radically Accelerate Global Economic Growth?
    19:39 Will AI Transform Sales, Finance and Marketing Like Coding?
    Quickfire round 
    What have you changed your mind on most in the last 12 months?

    What looks crazy today but will be incredibly common in 5 years?

    What's the exercise routine given the travel schedule?

    Favorite cheat meal on a rest day?

    What are you most excited for in the next 10 years?
  • The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch

    20VC: Why Robotics Will be 100x Bigger than Coding Agents | Inference Will Be a $10TRN Market: What No One Sees | Why Software Investors are F***** Today with Naveen Rao, Unconventional

    24/10/2026 | 1 h 9 min
    AGENDA:
    05:00 Will we run out of energy?
    19:00 Will specialised chips threaten NVIDIA's dominance?
    26:00 Can we trust AI agents more than humans?
    31:00 Will data companies become commodities?
    36:00 What comes after transformers?
    41:00 Are software investors f****** in a world of infra and compute?
    52:00 How big will the inference market be in 10 years?
    53:00 Could robotics be 100x bigger than coding agents?
    59:00 Why are coding agents the most overrated AI investment?
Altri podcast di Economia
Su The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch
The Twenty Minute VC (20VC) interviews the world's greatest venture capitalists with prior guests including Sequoia's Doug Leone and Benchmark's Bill Gurley. Once per week, 20VC Host, Harry Stebbings is also joined by one of the great founders of our time with prior founder episodes from Spotify's Daniel Ek, Linkedin's Reid Hoffman, and Snowflake's Frank Slootman. If you would like to see more of The Twenty Minute VC (20VC), head to www.20vc.com for more information on the podcast, show notes, resources and more.
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