Locked On Fantasy Basketball – Daily NBA Fantasy Basketball Podcast

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GIVEAWAY 22


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OVERVIEW
Boston Celtics fantasy basketball discussion is front and center, with detailed analysis on player values, projected rotations, and how offseason changes—including the addition of Paul George and departure of Jaylen Brown—impact draft strategy and player upside. I dig into specific ADPs, projected starting roles, and deep-league stashes, separating the real opportunities from the offseason hype.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Do not overrate Payton Pritchard’s breakout potential; his best opportunity was last season, and adding both Jayson Tatum and Paul George means less upside as usage drops even if he starts.
Paul George is significantly undervalued at his present ADP (often in the 70s-100s); with a clean bill of health, a rested offseason, and likely a bigger offensive role, he offers top-40, possibly top-30, per-game upside if he plays enough games.
Jayson Tatum’s Achilles injury is not a concern going into the season; I’m comfortable drafting him at spot 6, 7, or 8 in both Yahoo and ESPN leagues.
Derrick White’s value is solid but not spectacular; expect a move from a number 2 to a number 3 scoring option, so don’t reach if his ADP creeps into the mid-30s, and ignore ESPN’s unrealistically high category rank at 17.
Center rotation questions (Neemias Queta vs. Mitchell Robinson) matter mainly for deep leagues; Queta is a safer fantasy play, but neither offers upside, and Robinson is more of a streaming specialist.
Ignore preseason hype on Sam Hauser or Bayless Scheierman unless you’re in a deep league; even if one starts, minutes and production will likely be limited.
The Celtics’ deep roster means a 10-man rotation is likely, capping upside for breakout candidates and affecting waiver streaming in standard-sized leagues.
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FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
2:39 JLFB Bowl league updates
3:39 Boston Celtics offseason changes and big questions
6:09 Rotation and starting lineup projections
8:25 Fantasy value by starter: Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Paul George, Neemias Queta
17:56 Bench and deep-league rotation
23:25 Injury updates and remaining roster tools
26:15 Best targets, biggest fades, and stashes
30:01 Celtics fantasy schedule breakdown
32:01 Listener question: Third round reversals and center draft strategy
35:10 Closing thoughts and what’s next

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GIVEAWAY 21


JLFB BOWL Entry here: https://joshlloydfantasy.com/bowl
OVERVIEW
This episode covers the Atlanta Hawks’ fantasy basketball outlook for the 2026–27 NBA season, with a detailed analysis of Jalen Johnson’s role, risk factors, and proper draft pricing. I explore projections, positional depth, and the ripple effects of injury scenarios, plus which Hawks players offer the most value or risk in category and points leagues.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Jalen Johnson is being overdrafted in category leagues, going as high as 7–10 overall despite stronger justification in points leagues; his final two months last season did not match his early production, especially with CJ McCollum present.
Do not expect Johnson to repeat his extreme stats from the primary ball-handler stretch; usage, assists, and defensive stats could dip with a more balanced offensive role this year.
Onyeka Okongwu is slightly overvalued in category drafts; changes in his usage and defensive stats last season are likely to persist, and his ADP in the 40s is too steep for the expected role and production.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker is currently undervalued; he is often available in the 50–60 ADP range across platforms but should be considered a top-40–50 pick for category leagues given his strong two-way impact and solidified starting role.
Dyson Daniels offers clear upside beyond his current ADP, with room for improvements in steals and three-point shooting; he is a viable top-50 target both for categories and points leagues.
CJ McCollum's recent ADP around 100 is too low—his minutes and stability are much more secure in Atlanta, making him a reliable late-round selection.
The Hawks’ rotation is stable, but if Jalen Johnson is injured, the power forward depth is questionable, and fantasy managers should monitor the situation for streaming or stash opportunities.
Jock Landale is a deep-league stash option as the only clear backup to Okongwu, with direct starter upside if Okongwu misses time; other bench players have less straightforward fantasy upside or handcuff value.
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Wayfair
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FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
0:23 Atlanta Hawks context and season preview
2:10 Fantasy value questions: Jalen Johnson’s role, usage, and risk
5:18 Projected starting lineup and rotation dynamics
7:40 Injury contingency and depth concerns
8:53 Jalen Johnson: value, risk, ADP discussion
13:14 Onyeka Okongwu outlook
15:55 Nikhil Alexander-Walker undervaluation
17:30 Dyson Daniels projections
18:59 CJ McCollum draft value
21:17 Bench and deep-league fantasy considerations
27:01 Injury updates: Mohamed Waiyege, Henry Vaisar
28:42 Playoff schedule and games breakdown
29:28 Remaining roster: stash and late-swing candidates
32:41 Listener mailbag: IL/IL+ slot adjustments
35:02 JLFB Bowl: league details and sign-up instructions
39:51 Show wrap-up

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GIVEAWAY 20

OVERVIEW
This episode breaks down a 9-category, 12-team fantasy basketball mock draft with live commentary and strategic analysis from pick 8. I explain my rankings and thought process for each selection, highlight mistakes to avoid, and react to getting consistently sniped on key targets. You’ll get clear, actionable insights into current draft value, positional tiers, and how to adapt when your preferred players are taken.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Anthony Edwards at pick 8 is a strong, balanced option, but monitor for potential upside slipping if players like Jayson Tatum fall.
Jalen Johnson is being drafted too early—I'd rather take established producers like Kevin Durant or experiment with high-upside picks such as Cooper Flagg in that range.
Don’t overreach for Tyrese Maxey above Kevin Durant; Maxey is a little high at pick 11 in typical 9-category formats.
Avoid risky pairings like Anthony Davis and Kawhi Leonard in the early rounds—increased injury risk could undermine top-end talent.
Always be prepared for draft snipes, especially in the middle rounds; have alternate targets cued up, and actively pivot strategy when your queue disappears.
Track changes in minute projections or starting roles—recent reports (e.g., Jeremiah Fears potentially starting over Herb Jones) can quickly alter player value, notably for rookies or unsettled rotations.
Players like Walker Kessler are all over the board in ADP, so don’t get set on a single round for a target—be flexible and ready to adapt.
Late in drafts, focus on upside swings rather than safe but low-ceiling veterans such as Tobias Harris or Aaron Gordon unless your build specifically requires stabilization.

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Cozy Earth
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Wayfair
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FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

0:00 Introduction
5:11 Mock draft setup and format
5:32 First round selections and reactions
7:58 Early round analysis: value and snipes
11:10 Third and fourth rounds: adapting to draft flow
17:53 Middle rounds: strategy under pressure
29:38 Late rounds: upside swings and pivots
43:03 Final draft review and projected standings
44:38 Closing remarks and giveaway info

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GIVEAWAY 19

OVERVIEW
Category leagues in fantasy basketball require strategic decisions around punting categories and choosing how (or whether) to pair your first-round pick. I dig into what punting truly is, why common pairing advice is overrated, and how to build value across your team instead of obsessing over locking two stars together. My breakdown reveals which positions and stats actually matter at each draft turn, with practical consequences for roster construction in 9-category head-to-head formats.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Punting in category leagues just means ignoring one or more categories entirely, concentrating your resources in others, and not actively seeking to become bad in the punted stat. It's not about loading up on the "worst" players for that category, but about narrowing your focus so you can build dominance elsewhere.
Punting is not inherently complicated or risky—it's often easier and more effective than trying to be average in everything. You don't have to chase the worst in a given category, and you definitely don't have to lose that stat every week.
The idea of "pairing" your first-round pick with the perfect second-round companion is nonsense. Any competent two-player start can work, and fantasy basketball is won by building a strong 7- or 8-man core, getting value, and adapting instead of obsessing over early-round synergy.
Drafting for stat scarcity is more useful than sticking to rigid stat or position checklists: points, assists, and free throw percentage dry up quickly, so if you want to compete in those, prioritize them early and don't count on finding them late.
Ignore absolute position or stat mandates in your draft plan; be flexible and target strong value and upside throughout, especially in the last few rounds where risk/reward swings can pay off far more than safe, mediocre contributors.
Rankings that leap a player up in a specific punt build can be misleading; don't inflate players' values just because they're "great" in your specific punt—get them at a value, not a premium.
Category correlations matter: punting blocks can hurt rebounds and field goal percentage; punting assists will likely drop turnovers by default. Watch out for domino effects that force you into broader multi-category punts.
With first-round stars like Giannis Antetokounmpo or Nikola Jokic, you don't have to double down on their weaknesses or stack more of the same. Surround them with complementary skillsets and don't force yourself into multi-category punts unintentionally.
RESOURCES
joshloydfantasy.com/contest — Giveaway and contest info
joshlloydfantasy.com — Mailbag questions, JLFB Bowl info, research articles, and announcement hub
NEXT STEP
Stay nimble in your draft, focus on value and upside, and don't get locked into rigid pairing or position strategies.

Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!
Indeed
Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast.

Cozy Earth
Head to https://cozyearth.com and use my code LOCKEDON for an exclusive 20%.
Wayfair
Patio season is here and these deals won’t last! Head to https://wayfair.com right now to get your outdoor space ready for way less.
Wayfair. Every style. Every home.
Odoo
Great organizations win because operations matter. And that’s why you should get Odoo. Try for free today at https://Odoo.com/lockedon.

Square
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at https://square.com/go/NBA ! #squarepod

FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
1:00 What Is Punting? Misconceptions and Rationale
5:52 What Punting Is—and Is Not
9:36 Punting Category Correlations and Draft Tips
13:48 The Myth of First/Second-Round Pairing
22:05 Evaluating Pairing Options Across Yahoo Ranks
40:04 Mailbag: Stats and Draft Priorities
43:26 Closing Thoughts

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GIVEAWAY 18

OVERVIEW
I break down the biggest fantasy basketball busts in points leagues for Yahoo and ESPN, focusing on where ADP and rankings don't match player value or role changes. This episode will help you avoid overvalued picks and spot the traps that can sink your draft in fantasy basketball points formats.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Tyrese Maxey and Kevin Durant are being ranked too high for standard points leagues relative to their past production and new season context.
Tyrese Haliburton is being overvalued in points leagues; his skillset and injury concerns make a third-round projection more realistic than first-round.
Chet Holmgren and Donovan Clingan are risky second- or third-round picks in points leagues and could lose your league if chosen at those inflated ranks.
Trey Murphy and Kon Knueppel get inflated by 9-cat appeal, but their points league value isn’t as strong as their ranks suggest.
Desmond Bane and Mikal Bridges are outside the top 50 in real points value but are being pushed prematurely into earlier rounds.
ESPN’s default points rankings consistently overrate players like Jalen Johnson, Jalen Brunson, Trae Young, and Donovan Mitchell—don’t chase last year’s production blindly.
Draft success and smart waiver wire pickups contribute most to winning leagues; playoff schedules should only come into play as a tiebreaker or late in the season.
Rookie ADPs are often too aggressive relative to their uncertain minutes and roles, making them risky payoff bets at their current draft price.
RESOURCES
joshlloydfantasy.com — for Monster Drop entry, consistency/variance research paper, listener voicemail submissions, and upcoming league info
BasketballMonster.com — for rankings, analysis, and support tools


Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!
Indeed
Listeners of this show get a $75 Sponsored Job Credit to help give your job the premium placement it deserves at http://Indeed.com/podcast.

Cozy Earth
Head to https://cozyearth.com and use my code LOCKEDON for an exclusive 20%.
Wayfair
Patio season is here and these deals won’t last! Head to https://wayfair.com right now to get your outdoor space ready for way less.
Wayfair. Every style. Every home.
Odoo
Great organizations win because operations matter. And that’s why you should get Odoo. Try for free today at https://Odoo.com/lockedon.

Square
Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at https://square.com/go/NBA ! #squarepod

FanDuel
This season, FanDuel is making the excitement go beyond what happens on the field with the all-new FanDuel Rewards Club, featuring exclusive offers, surprises, and more. Every week, check the FanDuel app to see what’s waiting for you or visit https://FANDUEL.COM to get started.

FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)
CHAPTERS
0:00 Introduction
1:02 What makes a player a bust?
2:10 Yahoo points league busts
10:15 Points league-specific value differences
11:13 More Yahoo busts outside the top 50
16:16 Rookie and late-round busts
18:16 ESPN points league busts
24:21 Mailbag: What actually wins leagues?
34:53 Wrap-up and upcoming content

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