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Click Beta

Dave Nadig, Jason Buck and Matt Zeigler
Click Beta
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  • The Market That Won’t Break | Why Risk Doesn’t Matter (Yet)
    In this episode of Click Beta, Matt Zeigler, Jason Buck, andDave Nadig dive deep into the paradoxical world of modern markets wheregeopolitical chaos meets relentless bullish sentiment. From potential World WarIII scenarios to AI companions whispering in your ear, the hosts explore whytraditional market logic seems to have taken a permanent vacation. They discusseverything from the "buy the dip" mentality that refuses to die, towhether behavioral finance textbooks should just be thrown in the trash. It's awide-ranging conversation that touches on energy shocks, the death ofdiversification, and why Gen X might reluctantly have to save us all. MainTopics Covered: - Market Irrationality & Geopolitical Events - Why bombing Iran led to markets going up instead of down,and the complete disconnect between headline risk and market behavior The Deathof Selling - How retail conditioning and systematic flows have createda market where nobody wants to sell, even during potential global conflictsEnergy as the Real Risk - Why oil price spikes worry the hosts more than stockmarket volatility, and what $250-300 oil could mean for the economy MinskyMoments & Wile E. Coyote Markets - The hosts' framework for understanding when stabilitybreeds instability and how long markets can run on thin air InternationalMarkets Outperformance - The surprising reality that US markets are actuallyunderperforming globally, and why Americans don't seem to care AI and theFuture of Cheating at Life - Discussion of Cluey's $16M raise to help people cheat ateverything, and what this means for human authenticity Gen X as ReluctantElders - How the generation that never wanted responsibility mighthave to step up to fix local communities The Mid-Tier Apocalypse - Why everything is becoming either luxury or garbage, withnothing affordable left in between Behavioral Finance Reality Check - Whether studying cognitive biases actually helps when evenDanny Kahneman admits he falls for them all
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  • The Big Beautiful Debt Delusion | The Unpredictable Cost of Endless Borrowing
    n this episode of Click Beta, Dave Nadig, Matt Zeigler, and Jason Buck go deep on the messy realities of U.S. fiscal policy, the politics of taxation and spending, and what it really means to “get our fiscal house in order.” They dig into the latest tax bill, the implications for business owners and local economies, and the broader consequences for American hegemony and cost of capital. Along the way, they explore MMT, VATs, FX sentiment, AI's role in tax planning, and the surprising policy influence of farmers. It’s a candid, unscripted, and often hilarious look at the issues that actually matter.Main Topics Covered:Why the math of austerity doesn’t add upWhat a “fiscal house in order” really looks likeThe hidden consequences of the new tax billState vs. federal policy shiftsLabor, wage incentives, and restaurant economicsMMT, bond markets, and inflation dynamicsThe underrated power of FX as a policy gaugePrivate credit, pork spending, and political realitiesTax planning as the new alpha for advisorsExchange funds, 351 ETFs, and solving concentrated wealthThe commoditization of portfolios and rise of tax-focused RIAs
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  • The Domino's Recession Indicator | The Risks Markets Are Missing
    In this episode of Click Beta, Matt Zeigler, Dave Nadig, and Jason Buck dive into the complex state of the U.S. economy — from recession signals and tariffs to shifting consumer behavior and surprising cultural trends. With no Google allowed and a shared mission to cut through the noise, the crew brings their personal anecdotes, macro analysis, and economic skepticism to the table. If you’ve ever wondered how the people behind the scenes of financial media actually talk when the cameras are off, this is that conversation.Topics Covered:Why it “feels” like a recession — even if it’s not officialThe bullwhip effect and what shipping data is telling usConsumer slowdown: anecdotes, vibes, and Domino’s earningsWhy tariffs may create hidden entrepreneurial opportunitiesServices vs goods recessions: which one hits harder?Brand winners and losers: the surprising Chili’s comebackIs Gen X the forgotten generation?How generations might need to collaborate to move forwardDo we still care about art, or are we remixing ourselves into oblivion?
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  • The Tail Risk Tipping Point
    Join Matt Zeigler, Jason Buck, and Dave Nadig in this unfiltered and dynamic episode of Click Beta from Excess Returns. Feeling "stupid and exhausted" from their daily grind in markets and business, the trio ditches the polished analysis for a raw, behind-the-scenes rant session. With a mix of optimism, pessimism, and plenty of tangents, they dive into pre-agreed and surprise topics—no Google allowed—offering a blend of humor, skepticism, and unscripted insights. From AI breakthroughs to geopolitical powder kegs, this episode is a rollercoaster of ideas, seasoned with their signature banter and a touch of nihilism.**Main Topics Covered:**- **AI’s Right and Left Tails:** The hosts explore AI’s potential for transformative breakthroughs (like rewriting Social Security’s COBOL code) versus its risks, including trust erosion and overhyped promises.- **Tariffs and Economic Policy:** They debate the optimistic case for tariffs reshaping U.S. manufacturing and tax policy (e.g., a VAT system) against the reality of roboticization and political chaos.- **Geopolitical Tensions:** From the U.S. as a fading global bully to speculative left-tail events like Arctic shipping disputes or an accidental spark in Africa, they ponder the end of Pax Americana.- **Community and Legacy:** The conversation shifts to pro-social thinking—how AI might free up time for community, contrasted with musings on legacy, ancestry, and whether it even matters.- **Surprise Topics:** - *Canadian Animosity Toward the U.S.:* Is Canada’s current patriotism a fleeting protest or a lasting shift? - *Broadening Perspectives:* Matt seeks ways to inspire long-term, pro-social thinking in everyday life. - *D.C. Real Estate and Political Scapegoats:* Jason speculates on buying the dip in D.C. housing and Elon Musk as Trump’s potential fall guy.No investment advice here—just three market-weary friends riffing on the world as they see it. Like, subscribe, and share if you enjoyed the chaos!
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  • The Sovereign Wealth Fund Grift
    In this episode of Click Beta, Matt Zeigler, Dave Nadig, and Jason Buck bring their financial expertise to the table for an unfiltered discussion about today's most pressing economic issues. Unlike other finance podcasts that chase headlines, Click Beta aims to show viewers how industry professionals actually think through complex topics behind the scenes. The hosts dissect current events with a focus on practical implications rather than sensationalism, drawing from their daily interactions with clients and markets.Key topics covered:Strategic Reserves & Sovereign Wealth Funds - A critical examination of recent proposals for a US cryptocurrency reserve and whether sovereign wealth funds make sense for America's economic structurePrivate Credit Markets - An insider's look at the risks and opportunities in private credit, with warnings about illiquid assets being packaged in liquid wrappersMedia Consumption & Analysis - How financial news is framed and packaged, with advice on finding reliable information amid the noiseInvestment Philosophy - Personal perspectives on portfolio construction in uncertain times, diversification strategies, and the psychology behind financial decision-makingThrough their conversation, the hosts offer valuable insights for investors trying to separate meaningful market movements from political theater while maintaining a long-term perspective.
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Altri podcast di Economia

Su Click Beta

A futurist, a hedge fund manager, and a financial planner walk into a (virtual) bar, each carrying an investing topic the others don't know in advance. Join Dave Nadig, Jason Buck, and Matt Zeigler for unscripted conversations about markets, the economy, and whatever else crosses their minds. We hope you'll walk away a more informed investor - but we guarantee you'll enjoy the journey either way
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